MC Algervs
MB Rouisset
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 1 · 9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MC Alger · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: MC Alger 1-0 MB Rouisset, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
MC Alger 2-0 MB Rouisset
Original prediction
MC Alger
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 66.8% | 56.8% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 23.9% | 26.0% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 9.69 | 9.3% | 17.2% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.1 pts
Projected Score
MC Alger 1–0 MB Rouisset
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
MC Alger
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
56.8%
MC Alger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MC AlgerLWDWL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MB RouissetWLLWW
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MC AlgerMB Rouisset
61.1Attack33.3
77.8Defence83.3
72.2Form50.0
70.7Power56.2
1.60xG0.50