Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MC Alger · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
MC Alger are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWDL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while El Bayadh are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and MC Alger hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.7% in the Ligue 1, while MC Alger holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MC Alger
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
58.7%
MC Alger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.50/1.50
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00