Mbeya Cityvs
Mashujaa
SCHEDULEDTanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · 8/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Mbeya City are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Mashujaa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and mashujaa hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (41.7 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Ligi kuu Bara, favouring a draw with 25.4% confidence, a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
25.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00