GGOALVIO

Tanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · 8/14/2026, 1:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Mbeya City are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Geita Gold are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Mbeya City hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (41.7 v 37.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.3% in the Ligi kuu Bara, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

27.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mbeya CityDWDDW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Geita GoldLLLDL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mbeya CityGeita Gold
27.1Attack21.1
57.3Defence55.6
35.4Form26.7
41.7Power37.5
0.79xG0.56
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