Mbeya Cityvs
Geita Gold
COMPLETEDTanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · 8/14/2026, 1:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Mbeya City are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Geita Gold are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Mbeya City hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (41.7 v 37.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.3% in the Ligi kuu Bara, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
27.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00