Mbarara Cityvs
Entebbe UPPC
COMPLETEDUganda · Premier League · 9/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mbarara City 0-0 Entebbe UPPC, with an exact score probability of 38%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mbarara City 0-0 Entebbe UPPC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.97 | 30.2% | 25.4% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.77 | 32.3% | 36.6% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.5% | 38.0% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.77 · Draw 1.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Projected Score
Mbarara City 0–0 Entebbe UPPC
Exact score probability: 38%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
38.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mbarara CityDLLWL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Entebbe UPPCLWWWD
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mbarara CityEntebbe UPPC
25.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence77.8
36.8Form56.7
44.4Power57.5
0.37xG0.64