MB Rouissetvs
USM Alger
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 1 · 10/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
USM Alger · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: MB Rouisset 0-0 USM Alger, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
MB Rouisset 1-0 USM Alger
Original prediction
USM Alger
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.19 | 28.0% | 28.7% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.76 | 32.4% | 30.9% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 39.5% | 40.4% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Projected Score
MB Rouisset 0–0 USM Alger
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
USM Alger
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
USM Alger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MB RouissetLWLLW
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
USM AlgerWWDDD
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MB RouissetUSM Alger
22.2Attack55.6
66.7Defence77.8
33.3Form77.8
42.2Power72.8
0.81xG1.13