GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Olimpia Zambrów are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the III Liga - Group 1, favouring a draw with 12.3% confidence, a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

26.6%

Model confidence

12.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mazovia Minsk MazowieckiW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 4.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Olimpia ZambrówLWDLW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Mazovia Minsk MazowieckiOlimpia Zambrów
50.0Attack51.0
50.0Defence52.9
50.0Form39.2
50.0Power47.5
1.59xG1.43
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