GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 10/18/2024, 3:06:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Mazatlán W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Toluca W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 75.3-point power-rating edge (19.6 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.4% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

81.4%

Model confidence

81.4%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mazatlán WDLWLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Toluca WWLLWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mazatlán WToluca W
31.4Attack100.0
0.0Defence83.3
14.7Form100.0
19.6Power94.8
0.86xG3.50
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