Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mazatlán · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Mazatlán are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Juarez are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mazatlán hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Leagues Cup, while Mazatlán holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mazatlán
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Mazatlán has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.75