GGOALVIO

Mayak Sarny logoMayak SarnyvsSK Poltava logoSK Poltava

SCHEDULED

Ukraine · Cup · 8/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mayak Sarny · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Mayak Sarny are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while SK Poltava are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and sK Poltava hold a 8.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Cup, favouring Mayak Sarny with 14.0% confidence, a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mayak Sarny

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

14.0%

Mayak Sarny has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mayak SarnyL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
SK PoltavaWDLLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Mayak SarnySK Poltava
0.0Attack0.0
33.3Defence66.7
0.0Form0.0
15.3Power23.7
1.32xG1.25
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