GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/6/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mławianka Mława are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Wikielec are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 43.7 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mławianka MławaWLLDW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WikielecWDWWD

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Mławianka MławaWikielec
39.2Attack36.3
50.0Defence54.9
38.2Form42.2
43.7Power45.3
1.15xG1.01
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