GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/10/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wigry Suwałki · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mławianka Mława are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Wigry Suwałki are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Wigry Suwałki hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Wigry Suwałki holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wigry Suwałki

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Wigry Suwałki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mławianka MławaDWWLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Wigry SuwałkiDLDLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Mławianka MławaWigry Suwałki
39.2Attack45.1
50.0Defence62.7
38.2Form47.1
43.7Power52.8
0.93xG1.29
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