GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 5/24/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mławianka Mława are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Warta Sieradz are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Warta Sieradz hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.2% in the III Liga - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.2%

Model confidence

34.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mławianka MławaDLLLD

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Warta SieradzWLWWL

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Mławianka MławaWarta Sieradz
39.2Attack42.2
50.0Defence52.9
38.2Form43.1
43.7Power47.4
1.19xG1.19
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