Mławianka Mławavs
Warta Sieradz
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/18/2023, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Mławianka Mława are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Warta Sieradz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Warta Sieradz hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.2% in the III Liga - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.2%
Model confidence
34.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20