GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/28/2024, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mławianka Mława are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Victoria Sulejówek are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Victoria Sulejówek hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.6%

Model confidence

34.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mławianka MławaLWLLW

GF 17 · GA 15 · avg 3.40/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Victoria SulejówekWLLDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Mławianka MławaVictoria Sulejówek
39.2Attack40.2
50.0Defence52.9
38.2Form40.2
43.7Power46.2
1.20xG1.13
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