Mławianka Mławavs
Victoria Sulejówek
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/28/2024, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Mławianka Mława are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Victoria Sulejówek are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Victoria Sulejówek hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.6%
Model confidence
34.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 15 · avg 3.40/3.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60