GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/21/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Mławianka Mława are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Unia Skierniewice are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

59.8%

Model confidence

59.8%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mławianka MławaDLLDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Unia SkierniewiceWWLLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Mławianka MławaUnia Skierniewice
39.2Attack76.5
50.0Defence54.9
38.2Form63.7
43.7Power63.6
1.09xG2.26
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