GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 4/5/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pelikan Łowicz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mławianka Mława are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Pelikan Łowicz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pelikan Łowicz hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pelikan Łowicz holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pelikan Łowicz

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Pelikan Łowicz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mławianka MławaWWDLW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Pelikan ŁowiczWLLDL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mławianka MławaPelikan Łowicz
39.2Attack51.0
50.0Defence60.8
38.2Form51.0
43.7Power53.7
0.97xG1.46
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