GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Mławianka Mława are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while ŁKS Łódź II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and ŁKS Łódź II hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the III Liga - Group 1, favouring a draw with 13.4% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

28.1%

Model confidence

13.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mławianka MławaLLWWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ŁKS Łódź IILLLLL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mławianka MławaŁKS Łódź II
39.2Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
38.2Form50.0
43.7Power50.0
1.28xG1.45
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