GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/9/2024, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mławianka Mława · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mławianka Mława are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia II hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Mławianka Mława holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mławianka Mława

Probability

34.5%

Model confidence

34.5%

Mławianka Mława has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mławianka MławaDWLLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Jagiellonia IIWLLLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Mławianka MławaJagiellonia II
39.2Attack48.0
50.0Defence46.1
38.2Form44.1
43.7Power46.8
1.37xG1.35
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