Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 202613:00Updated today
Mławianka Mława

Mławianka Mława

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WL
vs
13:00
Hutnik Kraków

Hutnik Kraków

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Hutnik Kraków33%
Mławianka Mława33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Mławianka Mława
33%
Draw
33%
Hutnik Kraków
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Mławianka Mława
34
Hutnik Kraków
34
Defence
Mławianka Mława
82
Hutnik Kraków
91
Momentum
Mławianka Mława
50
Hutnik Kraków
100
Danger (xG)
Mławianka Mława
0.90
Hutnik Kraków
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.53 xG for Mławianka Mława and 1.24 xG for Hutnik Kraków — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Mławianka Mława holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.76 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Mławianka Mława's Defensive Stability (82) and Hutnik Kraków's (91) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Mławianka Mława)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Hutnik Kraków)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Mławianka Mława)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Hutnik Kraków)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Mławianka MławaMławianka Mława
WL
Hutnik KrakówHutnik Kraków
W

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Mławianka Mława33%
Draw33%
Hutnik Kraków33%

Hutnik Kraków leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Mławianka Mława vs Hutnik Kraków: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Mławianka Mława host Hutnik Kraków in Friendlies Clubs. Mławianka Mława have recorded WLLWWW in recent matches while Hutnik Kraków arrive with a run of LDLWLD. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 0.0 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.53 for Mławianka Mława and 1.24 for Hutnik Kraków. The gap of 1.29 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 4 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Mławianka Mława

Mławianka Mława

W
@ Widzew II
17 May 2026
20
L
vs Jagiellonia II
13 May 2026
01
Hutnik Kraków

Hutnik Kraków

W
vs Podhale Nowy Targ
17 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Mławianka Mława vs Hutnik Kraków?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Mławianka Mława vs Hutnik Kraków?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Mławianka Mława vs Hutnik Kraków?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mławianka Mława vs Hutnik Kraków?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more