GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 5/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mławianka Mława are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Broń Radom are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Broń Radom hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the III Liga - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mławianka MławaWWLWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Broń RadomLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mławianka MławaBroń Radom
39.2Attack38.2
50.0Defence57.8
38.2Form47.1
43.7Power49.1
1.06xG1.08
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