GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/16/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mławianka Mława are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Broń Radom are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Broń Radom hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the III Liga - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mławianka MławaLDDLL

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Broń RadomWLDDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mławianka MławaBroń Radom
39.2Attack38.2
50.0Defence57.8
38.2Form47.1
43.7Power49.1
1.06xG1.08
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