GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/3/2024, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mławianka Mława are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bełchatów are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mławianka MławaWWLLD

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BełchatówWDLWW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mławianka MławaBełchatów
39.2Attack56.9
50.0Defence52.0
38.2Form54.9
43.7Power54.7
1.19xG1.64
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