GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/23/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mławianka Mława are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Bełchatów are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mławianka MławaLWLLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 4/5
BełchatówWWWLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Mławianka MławaBełchatów
39.2Attack56.9
50.0Defence52.0
38.2Form54.9
43.7Power54.7
1.19xG1.64
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