Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sri Lanka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mauritius 3-0 Sri Lanka
Original prediction
Sri Lanka
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Sri Lanka
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Sri Lanka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MauritiusDDLLW
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Sri LankaWWWDL
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MauritiusSri Lanka
50.0Attack100.0
50.0Defence88.9
50.0Form100.0
50.8Power96.3
1.15xG1.75