Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Djibouti · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 46.9% | 32.8% | -14.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 27.5% | 26.6% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.67 | 25.6% | 40.6% | 15.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Djibouti
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Djibouti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MauritiusDDLLW
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
DjiboutiWLLLD
GF 2 · GA 18 · avg 0.40/3.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
MauritiusDjibouti
50.0Attack100.0
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form100.0
50.8Power91.7
1.18xG1.83