Mauritania U20vs
Sierra Leone U20
COMPLETEDWorld · Africa Cup of Nations U20 · 10/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mauritania U20 2-2 Sierra Leone U20
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 07:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 32.7% | 33.2% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.6% | 30.5% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 36.7% | 36.3% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.94 · Draw 1.94 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.5%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20