MauaensevsManthiqueira

Mauaense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Manthiqueira are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mauaense hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Paulista Série B, while Mauaense holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.