MauaensevsItaquá Athletico Clube

Mauaense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Itaquá Athletico Clube are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Itaquá Athletico Clube hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 74.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.7% in the Paulista Série B, while Itaquá Athletico Clube holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.