Mauavs
Uniao Mogi
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 6/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Maua are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Uniao Mogi are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Maua hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Paulista Série B, while Maua holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maua
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
10.0%
Maua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00