Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maua · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Maua are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Mauaense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Maua hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Paulista Série B, while Maua holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maua
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Maua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00