Mauavs
Manthiqueira
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 4/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Maua are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Manthiqueira are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Maua hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the Paulista Série B, while Maua holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maua
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
9.1%
Maua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40