Mauá U20vs
Capivariano U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista - U20 · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Capivariano U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mauá U20 0-2 Capivariano U20, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mauá U20 0-1 Capivariano U20
Original prediction
Capivariano U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.02 | 22.4% | 12.6% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.0% | 19.9% | -6.1 pts |
| Away | 1.74 | 51.7% | 67.5% | 15.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.9 pts
Projected Score
Mauá U20 0–2 Capivariano U20
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Capivariano U20
Probability
67.5%
Model confidence
67.5%
Capivariano U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00