Mattersburg SV 2020vs
Parndorf
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - Ost · 10/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parndorf · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mattersburg SV 2020 1-0 Parndorf
Original prediction
Parndorf
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.29 | 27.5% | 31.5% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.4% | 26.5% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 49.1% | 42.0% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Parndorf
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Parndorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60