Mattersburg SV 2020vs
Donau
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - Ost · 9/18/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mattersburg SV 2020 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mattersburg SV 2020 2-2 Donau
Original prediction
Mattersburg SV 2020
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.2% | 48.1% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.1% | 23.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.03 | 29.6% | 28.1% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Mattersburg SV 2020
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Mattersburg SV 2020 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20