Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:14
Matsumoto Yamaga

Matsumoto Yamaga

Home
D
30
Full time
Ventforet Kofu

Ventforet Kofu

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Ventforet Kofu33%
Matsumoto Yamaga33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Matsumoto Yamaga
33%
Draw
33%
Ventforet Kofu
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Matsumoto Yamaga
34
Ventforet Kofu
73
Defence
Matsumoto Yamaga
66
Ventforet Kofu
27
Momentum
Matsumoto Yamaga
33
Ventforet Kofu
33
Danger (xG)
Matsumoto Yamaga
0.90
Ventforet Kofu
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Matsumoto Yamaga)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Ventforet Kofu)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Matsumoto Yamaga)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Ventforet Kofu)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga
D
Ventforet KofuVentforet Kofu
D

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Matsumoto Yamaga33%
Draw33%
Ventforet Kofu33%

Ventforet Kofu leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Matsumoto Yamaga head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (D), while Ventforet Kofu arrive in mixed form (D). Matsumoto Yamaga have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Ventforet Kofu over 1 games.

The model rates Matsumoto Yamaga's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Ventforet Kofu defence, and Ventforet Kofu's attack at 73/100 against a 66/100 Matsumoto Yamaga backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Matsumoto Yamaga have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Ventforet Kofu have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Matsumoto Yamaga and Ventforet Kofu in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Matsumoto Yamaga 3333%, Draw 3333%, Ventforet Kofu 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Matsumoto Yamaga

Matsumoto Yamaga

D
@ Iwaki
17 May 2026
11
Ventforet Kofu

Ventforet Kofu

D
vs FC Gifu
16 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more