MatonensevsSao Carlos

Matonense are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sao Carlos are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Matonense hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Paulista Série B, while Matonense holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.