MatonensevsMogi Mirim

Matonense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mogi Mirim are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Matonense hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.6% in the Paulista Série B, while Matonense holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.