MatonensevsIndependente SP

Matonense are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Independente SP are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independente SP hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Paulista Série B, while Independente SP holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.