GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 5/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Matonense · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Matonense are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Grêmio Catanduvense are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 3.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Matonense hold a 58.7-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 3.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.1% in the Paulista Série B, while Matonense holds the strongest overall chance at 94% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Matonense

Probability

93.6%

Model confidence

17.1%

Matonense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MatonenseWWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.33/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Grêmio CatanduvenseLLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.67/3.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
MatonenseGrêmio Catanduvense
71.4Attack13.3
66.7Defence0.0
61.9Form0.0
62.1Power3.4
4.22xG0.42
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