Paulista Série BPaulista Série B
Saturday, 11 July 2026Last updated 12:35
Matonense

Matonense

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Flamengo SP

Flamengo SP

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GoalVio prediction
48% confidence
Matonense(50%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Flamengo SP
Win probability
Matonense
50%
Draw
35%
Flamengo SP
15%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No

Probability breakdown

48% confidence
Matonense50%
Draw35%
Flamengo SP15%

Matonense leads with 50% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Matonense head into this in Paulista Série B fixture in unknown form, while Flamengo SP arrive in unknown form.

Matonense have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Flamengo SP have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Matonense and Flamengo SP in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Matonense to win with 48% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Matonense 4951%, Draw 3500%, Flamengo SP 1549%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Matonense vs Flamengo SP?

GoalVio's model predicts Matonense to win with 48% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Matonense vs Flamengo SP?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Matonense vs Flamengo SP?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Matonense vs Flamengo SP?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more