GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Matlock Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Matlock Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Bamber Bridge are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Matlock Town hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Matlock Town holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Matlock Town

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

52.8%

Matlock Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Matlock TownWLLWW

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bamber BridgeLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Matlock TownBamber Bridge
55.6Attack16.7
38.9Defence0.0
42.1Form0.0
45.7Power11.2
2.19xG1.35
View match centre →