Mathare Unitedvs
APS Bomet
COMPLETEDKenya · FKF Premier League · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mathare United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mathare United 0-0 APS Bomet
Original prediction
Mathare United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.4% | 37.3% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 31.1% | 29.2% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 34.4% | 33.5% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Mathare United
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Mathare United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00