MatchakhelavsLokomotivi Tbilisi II

Matchakhela are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.25 conceded, while Lokomotivi Tbilisi II are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotivi Tbilisi II hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (26.9 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the Liga 3, while Lokomotivi Tbilisi II holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.