Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Masr · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Masr 1-1 Azam
Original prediction
Masr
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 64.3% | 48.3% | -16.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.4% | 27.0% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 6.24 | 14.3% | 24.7% | 10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.18 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Masr
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Masr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MasrDWWDL
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AzamWLWWD
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MasrAzam
83.3Attack50.0
83.3Defence50.0
66.7Form50.0
74.3Power50.0
1.50xG0.91