Mashuk-KMVvs
Volgar Astrakhan
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 9/21/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mashuk-KMV 0-0 Volgar Astrakhan, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mashuk-KMV 0-0 Volgar Astrakhan
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.0% | 39.6% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 27.8% | 34.4% | 6.6 pts |
| Away | 3.42 | 26.2% | 26.0% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.22 · Draw 2.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Projected Score
Mashuk-KMV 0–0 Volgar Astrakhan
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.4%
Model confidence
39.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mashuk-KMVLWLDD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Volgar AstrakhanDDDDW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Mashuk-KMVVolgar Astrakhan
29.6Attack29.6
70.4Defence66.7
40.7Form33.3
49.2Power46.3
0.69xG0.52