Mashuk-KMVvs
Novosibirsk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 9/6/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mashuk-KMV · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mashuk-KMV 0-0 Novosibirsk, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mashuk-KMV 3-1 Novosibirsk
Original prediction
Mashuk-KMV
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.4% | 41.6% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.5% | 31.5% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.33 | 27.1% | 26.9% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Projected Score
Mashuk-KMV 0–0 Novosibirsk
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Mashuk-KMV
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Mashuk-KMV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60