Mashuk-KMVvs
Dinamo Kirov
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 10/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mashuk-KMV 0-0 Dinamo Kirov, with an exact score probability of 41%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mashuk-KMV 1-1 Dinamo Kirov
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 18:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.85 | 32.4% | 23.7% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 29.1% | 39.5% | 10.4 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 38.5% | 36.8% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.17 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.4 pts
Projected Score
Mashuk-KMV 0–0 Dinamo Kirov
Exact score probability: 41%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mashuk-KMVDDLWL
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Dinamo KirovWWWWW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mashuk-KMVDinamo Kirov
24.2Attack39.4
75.8Defence75.8
39.4Form69.7
48.9Power64.5
0.36xG0.55