Mashujaavs
Polisi Tanzania
COMPLETEDTanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · 10/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polisi Tanzania · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mashujaa 0-0 Polisi Tanzania, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mashujaa 2-1 Polisi Tanzania
Original prediction
Polisi Tanzania
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.3% | 34.4% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 28.7% | 29.5% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.1% | 36.1% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Projected Score
Mashujaa 0–0 Polisi Tanzania
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Polisi Tanzania
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Polisi Tanzania has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20