Mashujaavs
Kagera Sugar
COMPLETEDTanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · 8/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mashujaa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mashujaa 2-1 Kagera Sugar
Original prediction
Mashujaa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.4% | 46.2% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.0% | 28.5% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.38 | 20.5% | 25.3% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Mashujaa
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Mashujaa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00